stick Penn State

  
Penn State            
W-L: ( 9- 1)  PR =    92.8171
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 207 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 5- 2, 89.5)    10- 9   
 211 H Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   ( 6- 2, 87.4)    17- 9   
 215 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 4- 3, 84.0)    21- 9   
 218 H Pittsburgh             ACC           ( 4- 5, 89.7)    12-11   
 222 A Drexel                 Colonial      ( 3- 5, 82.6)    16- 3   
 228 A Cornell                Ivy League    ( 5- 3, 89.9)    11- 9   
 304 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 3- 4, 80.7)    20- 8   
 308 A San Diego State        Big 12        ( 1- 6, 78.4)    18- 6   
 312 A Southern California    Big Ten       ( 6- 4, 85.1)    19- 8   
 315 H Princeton              Ivy League    ( 3- 3, 91.9)    11-14   
 322 H Michigan               Big Ten       ( 6- 2, 91.7)   
 329 A Maryland               Big Ten       ( 8- 0, 93.4)   
 405 A Ohio State             Big Ten       ( 6- 2, 90.5)   
 409 H Oregon                 Big Ten       ( 6- 3, 81.7)   
 412 H Northwestern           Big Ten       ( 5- 3, 94.2)   
 416 H Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       ( 8- 1, 91.4)   
 418 A Rutgers                Big Ten       ( 5- 4, 89.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Richmond               10- 9       1     2          -0.96
   211 H Massachusetts          17- 9       8     7           1.20
   215 H Bucknell               21- 9      12    10           1.86
   218 H Pittsburgh             12-11       1     4    -     -3.49
   222 A Drexel                 16- 3      13     9    ++     4.14
   228 A Cornell                11- 9       2     2           0.42
   304 H Colgate                20- 8      12    13          -1.49
   308 A San Diego State        18- 6      12    13          -1.07
   312 A Southern California    19- 8      11     6    ++     4.65
   315 H Princeton              11-14      -3     2    --    -5.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Princeton              11-14      -3     2    --    -5.26
   218 H Pittsburgh             12-11       1     4    -     -3.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Drexel                 16- 3      13     9    ++     4.14
   312 A Southern California    19- 8      11     6    ++     4.65

Penn State Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Akron	Penn State			Penn State
Albany	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
American	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Arizona State	Penn State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Penn State
Army	Penn State			Penn State
Austin Peay	Penn State			Penn State
Binghamton	Penn State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Penn State
Boston College	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Boston University	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Brown	Penn State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Penn State
Bryant	Penn State			Penn State
Bucknell	Penn State	Penn State
Butler	Penn State			Penn State
California	Penn State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Penn State
Campbell	Penn State			Penn State
Canisius	Penn State			Penn State
Central Connecticut	Penn State			Penn State
Central Michigan	Penn State			Penn State
Cincinnati	Penn State			Penn State
Clemson	Clemson			Clemson
Coastal Carolina	Penn State			Penn State
Colgate	Penn State	Penn State
Colorado	Colorado		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Colorado
Columbia	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Connecticut	Penn State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Penn State
Cornell	Penn State	Penn State
Dartmouth	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Davidson	Penn State			Penn State
Delaware	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Delaware State	Penn State			Penn State
Denver	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Detroit Mercy	Penn State			Penn State
Drexel	Penn State	Penn State
Duke	Penn State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Penn State
Duquesne	Penn State			Penn State
East Carolina	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Eastern Michigan	Penn State			Penn State
Elon	Penn State			Penn State
Fairfield	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Fairleigh Dickinson	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Florida	Florida			Florida
Florida State	Penn State			Penn State
Furman	Penn State			Penn State
Gardner Webb	Penn State			Penn State
George Mason	Penn State			Penn State
George Washington	Penn State			Penn State
Georgetown	Penn State			Penn State
Harvard	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
High Point	Penn State			Penn State
Hofstra	Penn State			Penn State
Holy Cross	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Howard (DC)	Penn State			Penn State
Iona	Penn State			Penn State
Jacksonville	Penn State			Penn State
James Madison	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Johns Hopkins	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Kennesaw State	Penn State			Penn State
Kent State	Penn State			Penn State
La Salle	Penn State			Penn State
Lafayette	Penn State			Penn State
Le Moyne	Penn State			Penn State
Lehigh	Penn State			Penn State
Liberty	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Lindenwood	Penn State			Penn State
LIU	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Longwood	Penn State			Penn State
Louisville	Penn State			Penn State
Loyola (MD)	Penn State		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Penn State
Manhattan	Penn State			Penn State
Marist	Penn State			Penn State
Marquette	Penn State			Penn State
Maryland	Maryland		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Maryland
Massachusetts	Penn State	Penn State
Massachusetts-Lowell	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Mercer	Penn State			Penn State
Mercyhurst	Penn State			Penn State
Merrimack	Penn State			Penn State
Michigan	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Monmouth (NJ)	Penn State			Penn State
Mount St Marys	Penn State			Penn State
Navy	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
New Hampshire	Penn State			Penn State
New Haven	Penn State			Penn State
Niagara	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Carolina	North Carolina		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	North Carolina
Northwestern	Northwestern			Northwestern
Notre Dame	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Ohio State	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Old Dominion	Penn State			Penn State
Oregon	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Penn	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Pittsburgh	Penn State	Penn State
Presbyterian	Penn State			Penn State
Princeton	Princeton	Princeton
Queens	Penn State			Penn State
Quinnipiac	Penn State			Penn State
Radford	Penn State			Penn State
Rhode Island	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Richmond	Penn State	Penn State
Rider	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Robert Morris	Penn State			Penn State
Rutgers	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
Sacred Heart	Penn State			Penn State
San Diego State	Penn State	Penn State
Siena	Penn State			Penn State
South Florida	Penn State			Penn State
Southern California	Penn State	Penn State
St Bonaventure	Penn State		Penn State 3- 0 vs 0- 3
St Josephs (PA)	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Stanford	Stanford		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Stanford
Stetson	Penn State			Penn State
Stonehill	Penn State			Penn State
Stony Brook	Stony Brook			Stony Brook
Syracuse	Syracuse			Syracuse
Temple	Penn State			Penn State
Towson	Penn State			Penn State
UC Davis	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
UMBC	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
UNC-Charlotte	Penn State			Penn State
Vanderbilt	Penn State			Penn State
VCU	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Vermont	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Villanova	Penn State			Penn State
Virginia	Penn State		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Penn State
Virginia Tech	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Wagner	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
William & Mary	Penn State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Penn State
Winthrop	Penn State			Penn State
Wofford	Penn State			Penn State
Xavier	Penn State			Penn State
Yale	Penn State			Penn State
Youngstown State	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2

PowerWise = 122

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Richmond        ( 5- 2, 89.5)    10- 9      -10.38      29.41       1.33         0.83            50.75
   0 H Massachusetts   ( 6- 2, 87.4)    17- 9      -12.55      27.24      -1.33         0.83            42.77
   0 H Bucknell        ( 4- 3, 84.0)    21- 9      -15.89      23.89      -1.33         0.83            37.25
   0 H Pittsburgh      ( 4- 5, 89.7)    12-11      -10.25      29.54      -1.33         0.83            46.57
   0 A Drexel          ( 3- 5, 82.6)    16- 3      -17.27      22.51       1.33         0.83            39.37
   0 A Cornell         ( 5- 3, 89.9)    11- 9       -9.99      29.79       1.33         0.83            51.39
   0 H Colgate         ( 3- 4, 80.7)    20- 8      -19.24      20.54      -1.33         0.83            31.72
   0 A San Diego Stat  ( 1- 6, 78.4)    18- 6      -21.49      18.30       1.33         0.83            32.41
   0 A Southern Calif  ( 6- 4, 85.1)    19- 8      -14.76      25.02       1.33         0.83            43.51
   0 H Princeton       ( 3- 3, 91.9)    11-14       -8.01      31.77      -1.33         0.83            -3.86
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       371.89

winning pts = 375.7466 losing points = -3.8573

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------